Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.134959 0.150918 0.168623 0.189835 0.214709 0.243134 0.278341
2024-10-06 0.117006 0.139571 0.166889 0.202899 0.249888 0.310242 0.395533
2024-10-13 0.098893 0.123671 0.155685 0.201135 0.265816 0.357595 0.503714
2024-10-20 0.087463 0.113703 0.149497 0.203667 0.286974 0.416694 0.648969
2024-10-27 0.076701 0.102691 0.139659 0.198501 0.294897 0.457291 0.780154
2024-11-03 0.071503 0.098568 0.138711 0.206005 0.323863 0.540291 1.025774
2024-11-10 0.066888 0.094558 0.137124 0.211861 0.351023 0.628442 1.331003
2024-11-17 0.061309 0.088340 0.131102 0.208936 0.361131 0.685782 1.599202
2024-11-24 0.056066 0.082055 0.124127 0.203050 0.363951 0.728179 1.856858
2024-12-01 0.050565 0.074828 0.114757 0.191310 0.352231 0.733114 2.005723
2024-12-08 0.047579 0.071437 0.111558 0.190739 0.364221 0.800951 2.427370
2024-12-15 0.045738 0.069767 0.111146 0.195489 0.389171 0.913188 3.143913
2024-12-22 0.042701 0.065925 0.106652 0.191776 0.394663 0.976767 3.756975
2024-12-29 0.041481 0.065140 0.107721 0.199993 0.432281 1.160824 5.354053
2025-01-05 0.038898 0.061727 0.103480 0.196037 0.437352 1.240144 6.514545
2025-01-12 0.037175 0.059722 0.101745 0.197459 0.457823 1.389991 8.695906
2025-01-19 0.034893 0.056519 0.097342 0.192046 0.457320 1.457834 10.421867
2025-01-26 0.034054 0.055921 0.098089 0.199011 0.496346 1.726621 16.006008
2025-02-02 0.033125 0.055073 0.098224 0.204501 0.532837 2.020154 24.955141
2025-02-09 0.031546 0.052856 0.095270 0.201663 0.540647 2.172405 33.266799
2025-02-16 0.029860 0.050326 0.091440 0.196024 0.537278 2.260856 41.651710
2025-02-23 0.027846 0.047044 0.085758 0.184802 0.511181 2.193214 43.857779
2025-03-02 0.026821 0.045656 0.084096 0.184253 0.524896 2.400095 64.065822